Stupid Effing Hurricane Thread
 

I figured it would be good to start a separate thread to keep up with all of the Florida Georgia Carolina stuff that's going to be going on related to this.

They're expecting a 45 foot storm surge in Miami. That's ridiculous.

It's supposed to be all the way up here about 2 in the morning on Monday. They keep readjusting the track closer and closer to my house. They're expecting it will be 105 miles an hour sustained with gusts above that when it reaches my latitude. We are going to stay here in the house. I hope I have a very aerodynamic house.

Northbound Interstate from here to Atlanta has been backed up for 2 days with people from South Florida. Many gas stations are without fuel. I have some fuel stockpiled for the generator because we have above-ground electrical lines and big trees. I expect we will lose power sometime Sunday night and probably be without it for 3 days or more.

The strongest winds will be from the north if the storm stays to the east of me. The jackass just to the north of me has shit all in their backyard like car parts and tin storage shed. There's also a giant oak on the property line to that side. It doesn't overhang my house but parts of it overhang my detached garage and it completely covers their house.

best of luck dude.

sounds scary as hell. I cant even picture what 100mph sustained wind would be like

Since the storm has moved more westward and decided to destroy Florida, I think Charleston is going to get off lucky in this one. We will probably get some rain and wind. Stores have been out of water since Tuesday. Whatever they get in is then gone almost immediately. Gas is starting to run out, but getting refilled daily. Harbor Freight sold out of generators last Saturday, during their labor day sale. I was talking to the manager and no one was thinking about Irma then. Everyone just wanted to get those sweet sweet HF discounts.

I have a 3000watt generator that currently is not starting. I need to post my video on here and try to get some help. Maybe I will do that later today.


Goodluck to everyone in Florida and Georgia.

​​​​​​​https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.mia...a1db65945e.jpg

Hurricane winds are measured at their speed across open water. The winds experienced on land are much less. The Islands that got hit were only seeing real wind speeds of like 90-100mph when the storm was at its strongest. By the time it gets to us it will be a cat 2 which shouldn't rip an old oak tree out of the ground. It will likely throw some branches and some of that trash in the backyard on to your house though. I think we will be mostly fine with some power loss for some time. It is still far enough out that it could still change directions too. There was a model showing a path that hooks back out in to the Atlantic. All of the spaghetti plots showing a direct hit to Tampa that were there yesterday were no longer there this morning. No one really knows where it will go. If it hits the gulf I am going to get really worried.

That's messed up!

On a more serious note....https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.mia...1e4e1f8109.jpg

Pics of how you mounted your splitter/ wing?

Hope you TPA peeps keep your feet dry. I was checking elevation down there- where my pal lives in S Seminole Heights (across the street from the Hillsborough River) shows ~25ft above sea level and he said that's about has high as it gets in town.

Not gonna lie, I am freaked out even way up here in ATL. They're predicting 30mph sustained wind with 60mph gusts. I live with a bunch of giant trees. That's six oak trees and two tulip poplars that are all within striking distance of my house.

https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.mia...75ed17857a.jpg

This thing just keeps moving west. At this rate it will end up in the gulf and all hell will break loose. Tampa went from being okay to getting hit directly in the span of 12 hours. I live in Tampa heights near your friend and I don't think we will have to worry about flooding here. South Tampa and Downtown are gonna be screwed though. They will be completely under water. I am starting to get worried about the wind as well. It is supposed to significantly weaken from where it's at now but it's still bad.

Yep- I wished it would just go west to the Gulf and die- the only good answer. My go to for hurricane updates: Mike's Weather Page... powered by Sparks Energy! Yes, it doesn't take much for downtown TPA to flood.

Checking in from Panama City Beach, wishing you guys in the peninsula good luck.

My mom, my sisters, nephews, niece and BIL, all live in New Tampa. I know they'll be fine, but I'm still worried sick.

The center is now predicted to be around 20 miles east of me. Yay. That puts me in the eye wall. Joy.

Hurricanes don't ever go into the Gulf and die. The gulf water is about 90 degrees Fahrenheit. They only strengthen there.

Have you heard they're going to rename the US virgin Islands? Because they've been fucked by Irma.*






*Yes, I know I'm going to hell for that.

:rofl::rofl::bowrofl:

We know it's going to be shitty because Rush evacuated.

Still here in the keys. Staying in - CBS reinforced with steel, hip shaped roof, FBC metal roof, straps embedded into the concrete walls. Impact windows and doors. The first floor is an airplane hangar with a 20' ceiling. House is less than 10 years old.

I really hope I don't die.

I would seriously reconsider your plan. Sounds like your structure is good to go for wind but it's the surge that will kill you.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/

I have been following this page. Levi's videos are really good for explanations of the currents steering this beast and why it has been so difficult to forecast.

Goodluck I hope you make it. Irma is about to fuck the Keys. How are your supplies looking. I think that is the bigger issue. You might survive the initial hurricane, but I am doubting infrastructure will be fixed in any sort of timely manor.

Looks like you don’t have much of a choice at this point. Good luck.

The keys are rock. That helps. If they were a sand barrier island they could just go away. The winds will be incredible but if you are in a hardened structure then the rising water is the thing to worry about. If the eye passes west of you the sea will rise 20+ft. If it is to the east then it shouldn't be as deep.

I wish you the best, my friend. Please take awesome video to share with us later. I'll pray for your safe passage.

The track has been updated to pass west of me now, right over Troy's (Miata2fast) house and between my place and Ryan G's. We are all in the reach of the eyewall and the 110 MPH estimated speeds. Not like the keys, which will see 180mph or more.

I just did the research and my home saw 71mph sustained and gusts to 83mph during Jeanne in 2004. This will be much more interesting.

Best of luck to you guys. I just checked the tracker update, no bueno!

If you can make it to 12 noon it will be past the keys for good. Windy.com app is pretty neat. A friend recommended it.

And it is back to cat 5 after eye wall replacement...

Cool page. Thanks for the link and for the consideration.
We have enough food and water for 3~ weeks. 25 gallons of gas, bicycle and have three trucks parked at the high ground in Upper Sugarloaf (assuming they make it).
Nah, not really. Trucks are fueled but there are reports of people being stuck on the roads.
Good luck, boys. We'll always have the Lake House and 'nanner pudding.

https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.mia...9932555bdb.gif

"Are you prepared?"
>obviously
https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.mia...bc313cad95.jpg

South Tampa and Downtown are so fucked it's not even funny. I'll have to keep on the lookout for some cheap homes on the market in the next few months.

LMK if i should cancelled my trip in 3 weeks. If you dont respond I'll assume the worst and cancel plans.

I'd plan on it. They are saying there is a good possibility of losing a bridge.

Since we are staying on the airfield, my roommate and I are designated to clean the airfield off if we have a working tractor. This place will be the only way to get supplies in until boats can make it.

Edit: Just found out from the owner of the house that we have more people staying on the airfield including an engineer.

Ryan_G will be coming to stay with us, thankfully. His place was built in the 1930s and is wood, and he lives in the second floor over the garage. Ours was built after the building codes were strengthened post hurricane Andrew and has block walls and I've boarded everything up. I really hope his place is ok but I feel better he's with us.

Tony Montana evacuated to further inland and higher ground.

I need to send Troy a text to check on him.

Saw Troy at the chainsaw shop. I bought a new sprocket for my chainsaw. Troy had two or three of his with him. I think he owns seven or eight because of his business.

man, this is damn scary. key west international has a field elevation of 3'. good luck and stay hunkered down.

BTW, Troy thinks Josh is effing nuts to be riding it out in the keys.

Tomorrow by noon he can tell us if it was a good idea if he's got power.

Watching the local news makes me feel like some of the reporters are this guy:

I think he's at the other, smaller airfield where they have autocrosses but I'm not sure. Sugarloaf Shores Airport on Sugarloaf Key. That's got an elevation of 4ft, so he should be fine with 20ft wave heights.

where the field elevation is 4'. either way... i'm worried for him.

It looks like people are still out and about on KW as of now.

http://southernmostpointwebcam.com/

I'm at 456 Airport Drive South
Summerland Key, FL
33042

As of 5PM my time we still have power and internet.

://youtu.be/X7ld45pUueQ

oh there's a webcam at the hotel i have booked. lol.

I evacuated to my parents house in Tallahassee, which was pretty terrible. Right now it looks like the storm is going to make landfall on my front door.

My house is at 8ft of elevation with 15ft of storm surge projected. I keep doing the math on that and it just doesnt end favorably. The miata is in the garage on jackstands as high as they will go. Just hoping for the best at this point.

Stay safe guys.

The eye is projected to go right over my house in Tampa. I have evacuated to Steve's house but I'm worried about my house. I wasn't able to board up the windows. Hopefully I just get lucky.

The eye is going to be where Josh is in just a few minutes. Category 4. 130mph sustained with gusts above that. I don't know how deep the water will be there but if you pray, pray for him.

Yikes, just yikes. Taken off of windy.com using the address he posted.
https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.mia...5aa491cfd5.png

Prayers for all. Stay safe!

Updates?

Chances are, anyone that's been through it has no power to post. Power is out over large areas.

Weather is starting to hit Tampa. Heavy rains and sporadic tornadoes. We tested the generator setup and finished all the initial prep this morning. Now we're just drinking beer, watching the news, and waiting to see what happens.

http://cdn.attackofthecute.com/July-...2QmMPvPVXf.jpg

Cat 4

Storm is starting to lose strength. Predicted to be just a cat 1 by the time it hits Tampa. Naples and Ft. Meyers are going to get the brunt of it.

w00t! I hope that forecast holds true!

A friend in Fort Myers has a wind gauge and was posting speeds that went up to 108mph an hour ago but haven't heard anything since.

Radar indicates that is likely accurate

Even though I know he doesn't have power, I've been checking back on this thread every half hour to see if there are any updates from Viperormiata. Just want to make sure the dude is all right. It's funny how you feel like you know people you've only met on the internets.

definitely looks like it is coming apart on radar @ 5pm
https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.mia...63511e5bdf.png

^ Nice shot. That's reassuring for a lot of us. I'm sweating the storm surge most at this point; with landfall happening earlier than expected, plus it falling apart a little bit, I'm hoping we can escape with minimal flooding. I've got the miata in my garage on jackstands as high as I could get it, if I could escape with minimal water in the house and a running miata I'd be super excited.

I am in Seminole Heights in Tampa and stayed home. Pretty windy but nothing really strong yet. Still have power. Expecting all my trees to fall on the house and the one car I have left in the yard. Emptied storage shed of the expensive to replace things. I have a lawn mower in my kitchen. No garage here. Put the Miata in long term parking garage at the airport. One car under neighbors carport across the street out of reach of falling trees. Expecting the worst, but hoping for the best.

That's precipitation radar- there's still a strong cyclonic form, but yeah I hope the precip is spread out. Weatherunderground has good interactive map if you want some data with visuals.
weather underground


https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.mia...645bcda103.png

2nd floor middle of the garage is actually probably really safe.

In case anyone cares: I cancelled my Key West trip

The hurricane will be gone by then. I am sure you could get a really good deal on your hotel. I'm sitting on the porch with sixshooter right now watching the rain and tropical storm winds. It's not so bad.