If you can make it to 12 noon it will be past the keys for good. Windy.com app is pretty neat. A friend recommended it.
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And it is back to cat 5 after eye wall replacement...
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Originally Posted by stratosteve
(Post 1438532)
I would seriously reconsider your plan. Sounds like your structure is good to go for wind but it's the surge that will kill you.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ I have been following this page. Levi's videos are really good for explanations of the currents steering this beast and why it has been so difficult to forecast.
Originally Posted by shuiend
(Post 1438533)
Goodluck I hope you make it. Irma is about to fuck the Keys. How are your supplies looking. I think that is the bigger issue. You might survive the initial hurricane, but I am doubting infrastructure will be fixed in any sort of timely manor.
Originally Posted by bahurd
(Post 1438534)
Looks like you don’t have much of a choice at this point. Good luck.
Originally Posted by sixshooter
(Post 1438537)
The keys are rock. That helps. If they were a sand barrier island they could just go away. The winds will be incredible but if you are in a hardened structure then the rising water is the thing to worry about. If the eye passes west of you the sea will rise 20+ft. If it is to the east then it shouldn't be as deep.
I wish you the best, my friend. Please take awesome video to share with us later. I'll pray for your safe passage. The track has been updated to pass west of me now, right over Troy's (Miata2fast) house and between my place and Ryan G's. We are all in the reach of the eyewall and the 110 MPH estimated speeds. Not like the keys, which will see 180mph or more. I just did the research and my home saw 71mph sustained and gusts to 83mph during Jeanne in 2004. This will be much more interesting. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.mia...9932555bdb.gif |
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South Tampa and Downtown are so fucked it's not even funny. I'll have to keep on the lookout for some cheap homes on the market in the next few months.
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Originally Posted by viperormiata
(Post 1438529)
Still here in the keys. Staying in - CBS reinforced with steel, hip shaped roof, FBC metal roof, straps embedded into the concrete walls. Impact windows and doors. The first floor is an airplane hangar with a 20' ceiling. House is less than 10 years old.
I really hope I don't die. |
Originally Posted by Braineack
(Post 1438573)
LMK if i should cancelled my trip in 3 weeks. If you dont respond I'll assume the worst and cancel plans.
Since we are staying on the airfield, my roommate and I are designated to clean the airfield off if we have a working tractor. This place will be the only way to get supplies in until boats can make it. Edit: Just found out from the owner of the house that we have more people staying on the airfield including an engineer. |
Ryan_G will be coming to stay with us, thankfully. His place was built in the 1930s and is wood, and he lives in the second floor over the garage. Ours was built after the building codes were strengthened post hurricane Andrew and has block walls and I've boarded everything up. I really hope his place is ok but I feel better he's with us.
Tony Montana evacuated to further inland and higher ground. I need to send Troy a text to check on him. |
Saw Troy at the chainsaw shop. I bought a new sprocket for my chainsaw. Troy had two or three of his with him. I think he owns seven or eight because of his business.
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man, this is damn scary. key west international has a field elevation of 3'. good luck and stay hunkered down.
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BTW, Troy thinks Josh is effing nuts to be riding it out in the keys.
Tomorrow by noon he can tell us if it was a good idea if he's got power. |
Watching the local news makes me feel like some of the reporters are this guy:
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Originally Posted by portabull
(Post 1438596)
man, this is damn scary. key west international has a field elevation of 3'. good luck and stay hunkered down.
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Originally Posted by sixshooter
(Post 1438599)
I think he's at the other, smaller airfield where they have autocrosses but I'm not sure. Sugarloaf Shores Airport on Sugarloaf Key. That's got an elevation of 4ft, so he should be fine with 20ft wave heights.
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I'm at 456 Airport Drive South
Summerland Key, FL 33042 As of 5PM my time we still have power and internet. |
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oh there's a webcam at the hotel i have booked. lol.
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I evacuated to my parents house in Tallahassee, which was pretty terrible. Right now it looks like the storm is going to make landfall on my front door.
My house is at 8ft of elevation with 15ft of storm surge projected. I keep doing the math on that and it just doesnt end favorably. The miata is in the garage on jackstands as high as they will go. Just hoping for the best at this point. Stay safe guys. |
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