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Enginerd 08-17-2011 09:00 AM

Texas Economy, Environment & kitties
 
I love how the Texan candidates preach about their zero income tax...yeah...well not every state houses 95% of the US oil and gas industry. Obviously Texas politics can't be a typical model on how to run every state in the union.

Braineack 08-17-2011 09:12 AM

then why are all the businesses from CA leaving the state; lots for TX? They have no stakes in oil.

What about your state? you cant even afford to bury your dead.



how's this:


gospeed81 08-17-2011 09:23 AM


Originally Posted by cymx5 (Post 760600)
I love how the Texan candidates preach about their zero income tax...yeah...well not every state houses 95% of the US oil and gas industry. Obviously Texas politics can't be a typical model on how to run every state in the union.

We also make Toyota trucks...

Enginerd 08-17-2011 09:32 AM

That's my point. The model doesn't work for CA or other states because neither their people nor the industry can be the crutch like oil and gas is to Texas. I do agree with you. Businesses move to TX because there's a lot to offer there. Not every state can match their policies and not go bankrupt.

I'm sure if Chicago was built on an oil and gas reserve we wouldn't have an income tax either. This city runs better with corruption than it ever will with the local/state gov.

Take Pat Quinn for example. Teachers unions across the sate sent letters to support him. What's the first thing he does once elected? Cuts the education budget and passes a bill to give state funding to illegals for college education. What a fucking moron. No wonder the state is broke.

Braineack 08-17-2011 09:44 AM


Originally Posted by cymx5 (Post 760604)
Not every state can match their policies and not go bankrupt.

yes they could. Revenue is rerely the problem, even in CA; the problem is almost always spending.

All you need to learn from this, is that states with lower corporate taxes attract businesses.


But here's a bigger example:


When Luis Fortuno became governor in 2009, Puerto Rico's economy was a mess.

Or, as he told me:
"Not just a mess. We didn't have enough money to meet our first payroll."

But he avoided bankruptcy by getting an emergency loan, and immediately cutting Puerto Rico's government. For once, government shrank. Fortuno and the conservative legislature:

•Laid off 17,000 government workers
•Froze all salaries in government

•Cut government spending by 20%


The changes were more sweeping than any state's, so it's no surprise that the protests were also more ferocious. Demonstrators clashed with the police in front of the governor's mansion. Some carried signs calling him a fascist and a Nazi. One poll shows that if an election were held today, Fortuno would lose, 47 to 25%.

But the benefits of Fortuno's small government policies are only starting to be realized. It wasn't until this Janurary that Fortuno used the savings from his cuts to reduce corporate taxes from 35 to 25%. He also cut state income taxes in half (a change that will be phased in until 2014.). He privatized entire government agencies.
“Bring in the private sector,” Fortuno said. “They will do a better job. They will do it cheaper.”

600 construction permits were issued in last few months. Wal-Mart, CostCo, Coca-Cola, and pharmaceutical companies are moving to or expanding in Puerto Rico. Soon, they will provide thousands of new jobs.

Once people notice that, Fortuno may become popular again. Ronald Reagan, Gov. John Engler of Michigan, and Gov. Gary Johnson of New Mexico all suffered drops in public support when they pushed for small government - butwon re-election when people realized that the cuts helped the economy.
not big enough?


Economist David Henderson, a Canadian who left Canada for the United States, remembers when The Wall Street Journal called the Canadian dollar “the peso of the north.” It was worth just 72 American cents. “Moody's put the Canadian federal debt on a credit watch,” Henderson said.

The problem, he added, was that Canada had a government safety net that was more like a hammock.

“When I was growing up in Canada, people who went on unemployment insurance were said to go in the ‘pogie.' You could work as little as eight weeks, taking the rest of the year off.”

So in 1995 Canadian leaders cut unemployment benefits and other programs. It happened quietly because it was a liberal government, and liberals didn't want to criticize their own. The result was that Canada's debt stopped increasing. As the government ran budget surpluses, the debt went down.

“The economy boomed,” Henderson said. “Think about what government does. Government wastes most of what it spends, and so just cutting government and having that money in the hands of people means it's going to be used more valuably.”

Canada fired government workers, but unemployment didn't increase. In fact, it fell from 12 percent to 6 percent. Canadian unemployment is still well below ours. And the Canadian dollar rose from just 72 American cents to $1.02 today.

Canada also raised some taxes. But the spending cuts were much bigger, six to one: agriculture was cut 22 percent; fisheries, 27 percent; natural resources, almost 50 percent. “We should learn from Canada's experience that you can cut government substantially,” Henderson said. “It is so wasteful. There's so much to cut, without causing much real pain — not causing pain, but helping your economy grow, helping people become better off.”

Henderson added, “We need to move more quickly than the Canadians did. Unfortunately, we're moving more slowly than the Canadians did.”

If we're moving at all.

While Canada thrives, we pour more money down the hole.


Enginerd 08-17-2011 10:00 AM

I may begin to see the light. Ill research more on this. It is enlightening.

The wasteful spending couldn't be more true.

Braineack 08-17-2011 10:09 AM

Resist being a Keynesian! Money doesn't dissappear if not spent by gov't. The best thing for the economy is more income; government is capable of redistributing how income is spent, but it isn’t a vehicle for increasing income. Government doesn’t care if it’s “losing” money, as long as it’s spending something.

mx5autoxer 08-17-2011 10:44 AM

I'm sorry but this woman is either an idiot or (most likely) pandering to idiots. As an environmental biologist this frustrates me to no end. She either has done no research at all or (again, most likely) is lying through her teeth.

EDIT: This is not a smear. This is legitamate political discussion. I agree that smearing does nothing but weaken your own cause because it is immature to make fun of physical or other flaws when real issues should be addressed.

olderguy 08-17-2011 11:03 AM

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Ph...on_Dioxide.png


Orly?

Braineack 08-17-2011 11:05 AM

All it proves is that politicians don't know shit. as you can see, she knows as much as her wikipedia search provided.

I do know that george soros and al gore stand to make a shit ton of money on cap and trade, while businesses whom cannot afford carbon credits will be hurt, as well as the coal industry which provides 75% of our energy.

gospeed81 08-17-2011 11:13 AM

I've always thought it was odd how cap and trade would affect the energy industry.

While oil and coal are not direct* competitors for most forms of energy, the advent of electric and hybrid vehicles will pit them against each other in the transportation sector.

Electric producers will suffer as they are immediately penalized under this system, while oil will remain (comparatively) cheap as a transportation fuel source since the penalty is transferred to the end user.


I may be wrong as I haven't done much research on this (despite my aversion to the policy)...so feel free to jump in.

olderguy 08-17-2011 11:17 AM


Originally Posted by olderguy (Post 760622)

I was referring to Blumenauer

Braineack 08-17-2011 11:20 AM

how to be rich like Soros:

Invest heavily in competition (ie, GR$$N)
lobby gov't
pass laws that benefit you & remove competition
??????
profit.

mx5autoxer 08-17-2011 11:58 AM


Originally Posted by olderguy (Post 760622)

Yeah. Earths atmosphere used to be dominated by CO2. It was also uninhabitable by aerobes (almost all animals, including humans). Bachman tries to reason that because CO2 "only" makes up 3% of the atmosphere and that humans only contribute 3% of that, that it can't possibly be bad. Well, ricin is a natural product of the castor oil plant (Ricinus communis). It only takes 22 micrograms per kilogram of body weight to kill a human. That means that if you body has .000000022% ricin by mass, you'll die. "But that can't be righ can it? That seems like such a small number."

Edit: I also wanted to add that rate of change makes all the difference. If you notice, the graph on wikipedia was on the order of millions of years. If you zoomed WAY in to the last 150 years the slopes of CO2 increase would be WAY steeper than what you see when you are looking at a magnitude of millions of years.

http://berkeley.edu/news/media/relea...2_carbon.shtml

Braineack 08-17-2011 12:17 PM

cool, so what did you prove by exposing her?

mx5autoxer 08-17-2011 12:37 PM

Its not in this thread since it was moved but someone posted the pic of her eating and someone came to her defense. I just wanted to put some legitamate criticism out there instead of "ha ha she looks funny".

Braineack 08-17-2011 02:32 PM

it just proves that politicans arent subject matter experts. while it's great that she combats cap and tax, trying to say that co2 isn't a greenhouse gas - the product of combustion, is streching things.

this can be said for almost everyone is washington on all sides. just wait till the "super congress" starts hearing lobbyists.

mx5autoxer 08-17-2011 03:03 PM

Yeah. Honestly all politicians (and for that matter all people) say things that you either don't agree with or don't believe. You just pick the person you disagree with the least and vote for them. I usually keep my political views to myself, but sometimes when science is involved I can't help myself.

Scrappy Jack 08-17-2011 04:01 PM


Originally Posted by cymx5 (Post 760600)
I love how the Texan candidates preach about their zero income tax...yeah...well not every state houses 95% of the US oil and gas industry. Obviously Texas politics can't be a typical model on how to run every state in the union.


Originally Posted by gospeed81 (Post 760603)
We also make Toyota trucks...

Texas also has a strong tech and telecom industry. Other states also have significant exposure to natural resources - some are more open to utilizing it than others.

Perry could emphasize that the primary source of success is not the existence of those resources, but the willingness to utilize those in a pro-growth manner. An example could be the Marcellus shale structure (PA vs NY). Tort reform, corporate tax structures (not just marginal rates), etc all play their part.

Another thing TX seems to have had going for it was lessons learned from the S&L crisis. In many of the states hit the hardest by the housing boom and bust, it was fueled by the leverage extended via speculative cash-out refinancing. To the best of my understanding, those loan programs were not available in Texas.

Thus, their housing market never over-heated and the drops in prices have been much less severe.

Braineack 08-18-2011 02:35 PM


Originally Posted by cymx5 (Post 760600)
Obviously Texas politics can't be a typical model on how to run every state in the union.


Chicago model:



Security tape allegedly shows a group of police officers beating two Chicago brothers Wednesday after apparently mistaking them for robbers while one was closing the store at which he worked.
gotta go to 20:00


The recording is a live feed from the security camera at a local convenient store where my oldest brother is the manger of. My youngest brother, Adrian Ayala was waiting for Michael Ayala, in front on his bike. Michael slipped in to drop off a desposit slip from the bank and pick up his house keys, when chicago police officers mistakenly accused them of robbing the store. The two latino men attempted to explain over and over how they were not robbing the store and it was a huge misunderstanding. Micheal pleaded over and over how he was the manager of the store and offered to demonstrate the security code and his keys but the police officers showed no interest in hearing him out. They started manhandling the youngest brother and that angered Michael, who remembered to mention calling the owner. After calling the owner and confirming that Michael was the manager and was authorized to be there the police let them go.
An angry Michael who was punched a couple of times before being let go, then yelled angrily that he had everything on camera and that this would not be left alone and he would report them to the proper authorities. As soon as he made that statement, the SARGENT, rushed at him and bashed Michael's head into the store front window, cracking is in half and leaving a star like crack! Adrian then tried to come between the sargent and his older brother stating, that he was demonstrating unneccessary force!!!! Only to be greeted with a cruel fate! A sworm of police officers piled on top of my two brothers and plumeted their heads and bodies. Kicks, blows to the head, punches, slapping, kneeing came from all directions and from several cops.

Scrappy Jack 08-18-2011 04:37 PM

Braineack - you do your screen name a disservice. In what way is an incidence of police brutality in any way connected to the Chicago economic (or political) model?

Or, said another way, do you believe police abuse of authority does not occur in Texas?

Braineack 08-18-2011 04:42 PM

No, I can't spell Brainiac. I'm doing just fine.


I was going to post in my police has militarized thread, but oh well. Chicago pretty much invented crooked cops.

olderguy 08-18-2011 05:51 PM


Braineack 08-19-2011 08:51 AM

Is this a better example for you?


For years, the Illinois State Fair, which also takes place this week, was America’s most heavily-subsidized fair. According to a recent state audit, the fair saddled taxpayers with a staggering $33.9 million in losses from 2001-2009. Taxpayer subsidies for this year’s fair are expected to top $800,000.
Remember, IL cant afford to bury its dead.



lol, Bruce, video is great.

Scrappy Jack 08-19-2011 09:30 AM


Originally Posted by Braineack (Post 761323)
Is this a better example for you?

Remember, IL cant afford to bury its dead.

Yes; that seems more relevant to this topic. However, it would be better if you could find an example of a Texas state fair that made a net profit or was cash flow positive or somehow superior to the Chicago model.

Braineack 08-19-2011 09:33 AM

this is all i got for you:

In Utah, the state fair received $675,200 from the pockets of state taxpayers to keep afloat this year.

The 2011 Indiana State Fair, which was marred by the tragic August 13 collapse of a concert stage and resulted in the deaths of five fairgoers, cost state taxpayers $600,000. That’s on top of the $1.6 million Hoosier State lawmakers frittered on the fair in 2010.

North Dakota’s fair is schedule to receive $365,000 in tax dollars each of the next two years.

But this year, Wyoming is the grand champion of state fair subsidies. Since 2005, taxpayers in the nation’s least populated state paid out an astounding $10.6 million – a cost of $50.99 to each family in Wyoming – just to keep the state’s failing fair from going belly up.

Fortunately, some states are wising up. In 2009, former Michigan Governor Jennifer Granholm, in one of the few good moves she made as governor, took the state’s fair off the dole. The decision to shutter the Michigan State Fair now saves Michiganders an estimated half-million dollars per year.

For Wyoming taxpayers, however, state “wel-fair” will only get worse before it gets better. The state legislature has promised up to $250,000 in taxpayer-funded grants to finance a celebration honoring the Wyoming State Fair’s 100th anniversary next year. That quarter-million dollar giveaway is on top of another $1.4 million already earmarked for the fair in the state’s 2012 budget.

Maryland state fair subsidy - $603,500 plus $95,000 to the fair board for an ag education subisdy.




Now....

The State Fair of Texas is run by







wait for it...














State Fair of Texas, Inc. - A business.

State Fair of Texas, Inc. is a private, non-profit corporation. It receives NO funds from state, federal or local government and is entirely self-supporting.

sixace 08-19-2011 10:43 AM


Originally Posted by cymx5 (Post 760600)
I love how the Texan candidates preach about their zero income tax...yeah...well not every state houses 95% of the US oil and gas industry. Obviously Texas politics can't be a typical model on how to run every state in the union.

So Alaska and the rest of the lower 48 only account for 5% of the US oil and gas industry?

There are 7 states with zero state income tax, and another 2 that only tax dividends and interest. How do they do it without the benefit of oil and gas production? (hint: tax other shit really high)

Texas State fair also has fried beer. mmmm, fried beer.

Braineack 08-19-2011 10:47 AM

to be fair, wyoming is one of those states... they are the worst.

I already posted how TX does a state fair - it's privatized.

Joe Perez 08-19-2011 11:03 AM


Originally Posted by sixace (Post 761374)
There are 7 states with zero state income tax, and another 2 that only tax dividends and interest. How do they do it without the benefit of oil and gas production? (hint: tax other shit really high)

That's how it's done in Florida. No income tax because no income.

But lots of tourists.

Scrappy Jack 08-19-2011 12:54 PM


Originally Posted by sixace (Post 761374)
There are 7 states with zero state income tax, and another 2 that only tax dividends and interest. How do they do it without the benefit of oil and gas production? (hint: tax other shit really high)

Can you expound on this? Take Florida, for example. There is no state income tax and no state death tax. Most counties I am familiar with have sales taxes around the 6-7% range.

Are you suggesting that property taxes are higher than states with high income taxes? I am trying to think of what other taxes might be included. Vehicle registrations?


Originally Posted by Joe Perez (Post 761379)
That's how it's done in Florida. No income tax because no income.

But lots of tourists.

I have a feeling you have a super dry delivery in real life which comes across in text - either way, leaving some people wondering if you are serious.

Braineack 08-19-2011 01:05 PM

I pay state, property, and sales tax, doubled sales tax in city.

Scrappy Jack 08-19-2011 01:13 PM

For my own interest, a quick search found the following: using a five year time span (2005-2009 which is recent but probably aberrant) to compare property taxes using medians as a percentage of home value and income:

Orange County, FL (i.e. Orlando) ~ 0.9%; 3.1%
San Diego County, CA (i.e. San Diego) ~ 0.5%; 3.3%
Mercer County, NJ (i.e. Trenton) ~ 1.9%; 6.5%
Dallas County, TX (i.e. Dallas) ~ 2.1%; 4.1%
Knox County, TN (i.e. Knoxville) ~ 0.7%; 1.7%
Fairfax County, VA (i.e. Fairfax) ~ 0.8%; 3.5%

It would then be interesting to add sales tax, state income tax for median income level, etc, to get a comparison. I am sure some group has already done that.

Note: I understand most MSAs are comprised of multiple counties (Orlando is best represented by Orange, Seminole and parts of Osceola, for example). Please feel free to note better substitutes.

Source = Tax Foundation

Joe Perez 08-19-2011 02:18 PM


Originally Posted by Scrappy Jack (Post 761444)
San Diego County, CA (i.e. San Diego) ~ 0.5%; 3.3%

This is slightly misleading.

The base tax rate in San Diego County is 1% of assessed value, plus Mello-Roos and other fees.

HOWEVER, there is a caveat. Because of the astronomical appreciation in property values over the past several decades, people were finding themselves priced out of their own homes due to re-appraisals. Thus, we have Proposition 13.

What Prop 13 does is to limit the amount by which anybody's property tax bill can increase to 2% per year, regardless of any change in the value of the property.

So let's say that you bought your house in 2001 for $200,000. At that time, your property tax was $2,000 per year (we'll just use the base 1% rate.)

The very next year, your home was re-appraised, and found to have a value of $600,000 (this does actually happen here.) Without Prop 13, your 2002 property tax would have jumped to $6,000 overnight. Because of Prop 13, however, they can only raise your property tax to $2,040. Then in 2003 it goes up to $2,080, in 2004 it increases to $2,122, and so on.

Unfortunately, this only applies to the house that you already own. If you were to sell your house and then move across the street into a completely identical house, your property tax would immediately jump to $6,000 per year, and the person who bought your old house would also pay $6,000 per year.

It's unfair to those of us who moved to California in the past decade as compared to those who have lived here since the 80s.


So, from a practical standpoint, that data is skewed because it includes all of the people who have been living here for a while and are thus sheltered by Prop 13, who are paying far less in actual property tax than the "proper" amount relative to the actual value of their house.

Scrappy Jack 08-19-2011 02:41 PM


Originally Posted by Joe Perez (Post 761479)
So, from a practical standpoint, that data is skewed because it includes all of the people who have been living here for a while and are thus sheltered by Prop 13, who are paying far less in actual property tax than the "proper" amount relative to the actual value of their house.

That's a great point; I did not look through the methodology in enough detail to be able to determine if that would be accounted for or not.

Assuming that data under-reports the actual property tax burden, it could mean that San Diego has a higher county sales tax (~7.75 - 8.75% vs 6 - 7%), higher state income tax (call it ~4% - 6% marginal for median income of ~$50k vs 0%), comparable or higher property taxes as a percentage of income and percentage of home value and a death tax?

Oh, and housing is probably on the order of 30% - 50% more expensive. And we have no vehicle inspections or CARB.

You do have us beat with the weather, though. Damn rain and humidity... :D

Joe Perez 08-19-2011 03:59 PM


Originally Posted by Scrappy Jack (Post 761488)
That's a great point; I did not look through the methodology in enough detail to be able to determine if that would be accounted for or not.

I'm sure that similar issues in the methodology exist in other areas as well.

In Florida, you guys have the Homestead Exemption, which in my opinion is much fairer than Prop 13, as it applies to everyone, regardless of how long you have lived there. Last I checked, the first $50,000 of your primary home's value was exempt from taxation, and given that in some parts of FL you can actually buy a decent home for not much more than $50,000, it's possible to live there nearly tax-free.



Assuming that data under-reports the actual property tax burden, it could mean that San Diego has a higher county sales tax (~7.75 - 8.75% vs 6 - 7%), higher state income tax (call it ~4% - 6% marginal for median income of ~$50k vs 0%), comparable or higher property taxes as a percentage of income and percentage of home value and a death tax?
You know, I honestly have no idea what our local sales tax rate is.

(checks some receipts.)

7.75% in CA, plus 1% in Carlsbad. I assume the rest of SDC is similar.

We don't have any city or county income taxes, but CA income tax is pretty steep. Most folks fall into the 5-8% range.




Oh, and housing is probably on the order of 30% - 50% more expensive.
I'm not sure what you mean here. More expensive than what?

If you mean to compare CA to FL, housing here is more like 200% - 1000% more expensive. My 700 ft/sq apartment is $1,600 a month, and a house that would cost $90,000 in one of the gulf-coast towns might fetch $500-$700k here. And that's post-recession pricing. In '05, you couldn't buy a decent 3/2 detached house around here for much less then a million.

That's why Prop 13 was such a big deal. Can you even imagine paying $1,000 per month in property tax? That's more than most people's mortgages, and we're not talking about a mansion in Beverly Hills, that's just any ole' single-family home in a tightly packed cookie-cutter subdivision which happens to be east of El Camino Real. Tack on $200-$400 per month in HOA fees, and you start to see why the whole concept of interest-only mortgages was developed right here.




And we have no vehicle inspections or CARB.
Yeah, I know. I grew up Charlotte County, went to school in Gainesville, and lived in Sarasota County from late '08 to early '10.




You do have us beat with the weather, though.
And we have jobs here, too. :D

I've lived in a lot of different places. Georgia, Miami, western FL, northern FL, Cincinnati, NYC, SD, and I've traveled to pretty much every major city in the US. Even with CARB, I honestly cannot think of any place I would rather be.

jacob300zx 08-19-2011 04:05 PM

The OP is from Illinois lol. Literally the worst run state in the union.

Braineack 08-19-2011 04:14 PM

So many percentages in this thread, I must add more.

The percentage of each past president's cabinet who had worked in the private business sector prior to their appointment to the cabinet:

T. Roosevelt.................. 38%
Taft............................... 40%
Wilson.......................... 52%
Harding......................... 49%
Coolidge....................... 48%
Hoover ......................... 42%
F. Roosevelt...................50%
Truman......................... 50%
Johnson........................ 47%
Nixon............................ 53%
Ford............................. 42%
Carter........................... 32%
Reagan..........................86%
GH Bush....................... 51%
Clinton ......................... 39%
GW Bush...................... 55%
Obama......................... 08%

Scrappy Jack 08-19-2011 04:27 PM


Originally Posted by Joe Perez (Post 761510)
And we have jobs here, too. :D

I don't think either of us should be too quick to brag about jobs...

California ranked #50 out of 51 at 12.0% July unemployment rate
Florida ranked 45 at 10.7%

http://www.bls.gov/web/laus/laumstrk.htm

(Pre-emptive: Jason, we know about the flaws in that number)

Although, like real estate, it's all local and demographically specific. I think we have one of the largest research parks in the US, we have one of the largest universities in the US, a large aerospace contingent and a growing "medical city."

Although, like CA, we are still dealing with the effects of the job bubble that came with the housing bubble.

mgeoffriau 08-19-2011 05:19 PM


Originally Posted by Braineack (Post 761514)
So many percentages in this thread, I must add more.

The percentage of each past president's cabinet who had worked in the private business sector prior to their appointment to the cabinet:

T. Roosevelt.................. 38%
Taft............................... 40%
Wilson.......................... 52%
Harding......................... 49%
Coolidge....................... 48%
Hoover ......................... 42%
F. Roosevelt...................50%
Truman......................... 50%
Johnson........................ 47%
Nixon............................ 53%
Ford............................. 42%
Carter........................... 32%
Reagan..........................86%
GH Bush....................... 51%
Clinton ......................... 39%
GW Bush...................... 55%
Obama......................... 08%

If this is accurate, that's pretty astounding. I don't place a lot of weight on it, but it's interesting nevertheless.

olderguy 08-19-2011 05:50 PM


Originally Posted by mgeoffriau (Post 761525)
If this is accurate, that's pretty astounding. I don't place a lot of weight on it, but it's interesting nevertheless.

I, for one, place a lot of weight on it:2cents:

Joe Perez 08-19-2011 06:03 PM


Originally Posted by Scrappy Jack (Post 761516)
California ranked #50 out of 51 at 12.0% July unemployment rate
Florida ranked 45 at 10.7%

Well, two things come to mind.

The first, of course, is that California is indeed a state of extremes. There are certain areas (mostly inland and in the extreme south) where unemployment is extremely high, and there are other regions (mostly in or near the major coastal cities) where we not only have jobs, but we have good-paying jobs in stable industries. I'd rather have 20% unemployment in the state with the economy we have now vs. 0% unemployment but everyone is working for minimum wage.

The second, of course, is that unemployment is not the number of people who don't have jobs, but the number of people who want jobs and don't have them. So all of those elderly retired folks don't count as "unemployed," even though they represent a net drain on the federal budget.

Scrappy Jack 08-20-2011 07:24 PM


Originally Posted by Braineack (Post 761514)
So many percentages in this thread, I must add more.

Source?

I have heard that, prior to the 2010 mid-term elections, there were 7 JDs for every one MBA in Congress (between both houses). A change in the demographics of the two houses might be a benefit. I do not have a source to cite for that fun fact, unfortunately. :(


Originally Posted by Joe Perez (Post 761545)
The first, of course, is that the USA is indeed a state of extremes.

Fixed that for ya. Compare the "white collar" professional unemployment with the "blue collar" unemployment across the country (Dakotas not withstanding?) and you are likely to see the same.

Again, reference the areas of growth I mentioned. Biotech, aerospace, engineering, healthcare... Those are not exactly the minimum wage positions.

The real problem that both Florida, California and the broader USA as a whole face is the "jobs bubble" found in the housing boom. Construction workers, day laborers, spec builders, developers, real estate agents, mortgage brokers, et al.

Joe Perez 08-20-2011 10:10 PM

I'd be curious to know what percentage of the total US labor force are in industries related to or dependent upon the housing market, everything from loggers to construction workers to mortgage brokers.

Maybe 1%? 1.5%?

I've been trying to find some actual data on this, and I can't come up with anything. But just try to visualize any medium-sized city. Picture all of the people working in the hospitals, the retail stores, the restaurants, the law firms, the schools, the garages, the warehouses, the adult novelty shops, the amusement parks, the tattoo parlors, the pet stores, the office buildings, the police department, the DMV, the auto parts stores, the optometrists' offices, the broadcast stations and newspapers, the phone company, the furniture stores, the hotels, the gas stations, the hair salons, the car dealerships, and the place where you can pay $3 to have a pregnant otter lick you once directly on the surface of your left eyeball while an elderly Korean woman whispers the names of various fruit-bearing trees into you ear.

And then compare that to the total number of people cutting down trees, turning them into houses, and lending you money to buy them with.

JasonC SBB 08-21-2011 01:47 PM


Originally Posted by Scrappy Jack (Post 761444)
For my own interest, a quick search found the following: using a five year time span (2005-2009 which is recent but probably aberrant) to compare property taxes using medians as a percentage of home value and income:

Orange County, FL (i.e. Orlando) ~ 0.9%; 3.1%
San Diego County, CA (i.e. San Diego) ~ 0.5%; 3.3%
Mercer County, NJ (i.e. Trenton) ~ 1.9%; 6.5%
Dallas County, TX (i.e. Dallas) ~ 2.1%; 4.1%
Knox County, TN (i.e. Knoxville) ~ 0.7%; 1.7%
Fairfax County, VA (i.e. Fairfax) ~ 0.8%; 3.5%

It would then be interesting to add sales tax, state income tax for median income level, etc, to get a comparison. I am sure some group has already done that.

I think a much better metric is total state expenditures as a % of GDP.
Anyone have those numbers?

Joe Perez 08-21-2011 03:40 PM

Found some data, courtesy of the US Census: http://www.census.gov/compendia/stat...es/11s0619.pdf

In 2005, construction accounted for 11.2 million jobs, and real estate / housing-related finance accounted for 3.15 million. Total employment was 141.7 million, so that's about 10%, more than I would have expected. Of course, that's all construction, not just residential, and it includes the construction of apartments and other rental properties as well, which is one portion of the industry which actually benefits from recession (for each house that's foreclosed and empty, that's one more apartment that's rented.)

Turning forward to 2009, construction declined to 10.9 million and housing-related finance to 2.9 million, an overall decline of 3.9%. The overall labor force declined from 141.7 million to 139.9 million, a decline of about 2.3%.

So yeah, construction and housing finance took a larger hit than the general workforce, but the actual numbers are still pretty small.

trickyrix 09-09-2011 01:15 PM


Originally Posted by elesjuan (Post 769476)
Nice to see a politician once in a while who isn't a total faggggot about guns.

He's making up for the fact that he was a cheerleader in college... and he's a complete douchetool who needs a pair of balls in his mouth to keep him from talking.

http://kickthemallout.com/images/Pho...heerleader.png

elesjuan 09-09-2011 01:27 PM


Originally Posted by trickyrix (Post 769502)
He's making up for the fact that he was a cheerleader in college... and he's a complete douchetool who needs a pair of balls in his mouth to keep him from talking.

http://kickthemallout.com/images/Pho...heerleader.png

...and he's the current Governor of Texas, very likely will be the next president. What's your fucking gold star accomplishment? :jerkit:

http://img254.imageshack.us/img254/3741/retardty6.jpg

gearhead_318 09-09-2011 01:39 PM


Originally Posted by elesjuan (Post 769504)
...and he's the current Governor of Texas, very likely will be the next president. What's your fucking gold star accomplishment?

Bullshit
http://static0.channels.com/thumbnai...Umad-Bro---jpg

rharris19 09-09-2011 01:44 PM


Originally Posted by trickyrix (Post 769502)
He's making up for the fact that he was a cheerleader in college... and he's a complete douchetool who needs a pair of balls in his mouth to keep him from talking.

http://kickthemallout.com/images/Pho...heerleader.png

Yell leader to be correct. They sling so much leg it's unreal.

y8s 09-09-2011 01:46 PM

politics section bitches.

perry will never be the president of my country.

elesjuan 09-09-2011 01:48 PM


Originally Posted by Gearhead_318 (Post 769508)

Maybe, maybe not. I will bet you $20 this retard won't be again.

http://troll.me/images/obama-meh/u-mad-bro.jpg

gearhead_318 09-09-2011 02:04 PM


Originally Posted by elesjuan (Post 769512)
Maybe, maybe not. I will bet you $20 this retard won't be again.

Theres no "maybe" about it. Perry will never be President, he's on the Palin level of estúpido.

Four more years. :winner:

viperormiata 09-09-2011 02:17 PM


Originally Posted by Gearhead_318 (Post 769517)

Four more years trillion dollars in debt

Fixed.

FRT_Fun 09-09-2011 02:25 PM

I still vote for donald.

http://c580019.r19.cf2.rackcdn.com/w...rump-roast.jpg

trickyrix 09-09-2011 03:34 PM


Originally Posted by elesjuan (Post 769504)
...and he's the current Governor of Texas, very likely will be the next president. What's your fucking gold star accomplishment? :jerkit:

A whole bunch of us are sick of his sorry ass. And I highly doubt he can pull off a presidential win. He may have quite the political machine around him, but he's a fucking retard. He'll fuck it up soon enough. Seriously, have you ever heard the guy debate? Ever looked into how much he backtracks and lies about shit and wastes taxpayer money for his own benefit? The fact that this guy is STILL crapping all over my great state pisses me off on a daily basis. He gives Texas a bad name.

And that's the end of my rant. Here's a picture of some fucking kittens:

http://blog.mysanantonio.com/spaysa/...cy/kittens.jpg

Scrappy Jack 09-10-2011 05:02 PM


Originally Posted by trickyrix (Post 769548)
The fact that this guy is STILL crapping all over my great state pisses me off on a daily basis. He gives Texas a bad name.

I was nearly distracted by your kitten picture, but I am a dog person.

Can you cite some specific examples of how Perry "craps" all over the great state of Texas* or gives Texas a bad name?

[Full disclosure: I have previously voted for the other Presidential candidate from Texas.]





* Note that "craps" is in quotation marks because I believe that to be figurative. There is another phrase in that same sentence which I deliberately left the quotation marks off of.

Braineack 09-13-2011 01:49 PM

i dunno where else to post this...

we need a random picture thread for politics.

http://biggovernment.com/files/2011/09/Poverty-Rate.jpg

jacob300zx 09-13-2011 02:53 PM


Originally Posted by Braineack (Post 770867)

we need a random picture thread for politics.

]

I like this idea. Your chart on Obama's % of employees that have worked in the private sector was mind blowing but plausable.

Braineack 09-13-2011 03:06 PM

I'm pretty sure it's accurate as well.

Hardly any of his Cabinent or Czars have worked for anything but the public sector.


http://blog.american.com/wp-content/...amacabinet.jpg

Read what Politifact has to say on it, however, I gotta run.

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-me...et-members-ha/



We tracked down Cembalest to ask about his methodology. He said any effort to address the topic is heavily subjective, and he expressed regret that his work had been used for political ends, saying that it was not his intention to provide fodder for bloggers and talk show hosts.

Cembalest said that he did discount the corporate experience of the three lawyers we identified — Clinton, Vilsack and Locke — and added that he awarded nothing for Donovan, Chu or Salazar, even though we found they had a fair amount private sector experience. Cembalest acknowledged fault in missing Salazar's business background, saying he would have given him a full point if he had it to do over again. But he added that the kind of private-sector experiences Chu and Donovan had (managing scientific research and handling community development lending, respectively) did not represent the kind of private-sector business experience he was looking for when doing his study.

"What I was really trying to get at was some kind of completely, 100 percent subjective assessment of whether or not a person had had enough control of payroll, dealing with shareholders, hiring, firing and risk-taking that they'd be in a position to have had a meaningful seat at the table when the issue being discussed is job creation," Cembalest said.

Cembalest said he has "written 250,000 words in research over the last decade, and every single thing I've ever done — except this one chart — was empirically based on data from the Federal Reserve" or another official source. "This is the one time I stepped out into making judgment calls, and I assure you I won't do it again. ... The frightening thing about the Internet is that people copy one chart from what you write and then it goes viral. So I've learned a lesson here that these kinds of issues are best left addressed by the people who practice them day in and day out."

The

gearhead_318 09-13-2011 03:23 PM


Originally Posted by Braineack (Post 770867)
i dunno where else to post this...

we need a random picture thread for politics.

[img]random pic of politics[/img]

Hasn't gotten much better, but it hasn't back to as bad as it was pre war on poverty.


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