Obama wins...
 

... in 431 different scenarios vs Romney's 76, depending on the outcome in a few contested states.

https://www.miataturbo.net/attachmen...ine=1352244149

Specifically, if he carries Ohio and Florida or North Carolina, Romney loses.

As much as I'd rather run a deficit with lower taxes rather than increased spending, I don't see Romney winning.

Fivethirtyeight has Romney not winning until the 11th most probable electoral college split.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

We’ll se how well the vote flipping machines and deliberately screwed up process of making everybody in populated areas have to wait in line for hours to vote works for Romney.

There is ONE good thing about an Obama victory: A Republican Congress means gridlock.

There is ONE good thing about a Romney victory: The "liberals" will suddenly become anti-war again.

I have no idea what this picture is showing me.

Although it is still early Romney seems to be maintaining a fairly consistent 5 point lead with every vote update. That is much more than I would assume he will win by if he does indeed win.

I'll just be happy if we can avoid any kind of electoral crisis that leads to a new round of "we must be rid of the antiquated electoral college" arguments.

It is swing state scenarios. If Obama wins Florida and Ohio it will be an early night.

Thankfully though, they, like you, are wrong. Good night! ;)

Gary Johnson 2012!!!!

Nader 2012!!!!

Yup. Got my vote in.

1. The popular vote doesn't matter.
2. A lot of the early results are coming from Republican strongholds. Wait until the New York, California, and Illinois count their votes.
+1.

I'm under no illusions that he will win, I just wanted to help him get closer to 5%.

Virgil goode!

I understand the popular vote "doesn't count", however, disregarding it entirely would be stupid.

Agree to disagree. It's irrelevant data to me because Romney could have 5 billion votes in Texas and not win the election.

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-uSJDjPCLUo...ms_Storage.png

Interesting road to the white house...

.

You know what sucks, my precinct was consistently running +5 hour wait times to vote today. I went to vote this morning at 7am (before work), 3:30pm (left work early), and 7pm (just before the precincts closed). Each time the parking lot was COMPLETELY filled, any grass areas that could conceivably be used for parking were COMPLETELY filled, and there were numerous cars driving around looking for places to park. Meanwhile, 2 precincts CLOSER to my house were completely deserted, without a single person in line. This was the same story throughout Lee County FL.

Maybe this seems innocent, but Lee County FL is VERY conservative. 4 years ago McCain won Lee County FL 73.02% to Obama's 26.18%. Apparently someone down here doesn't want conservatives voting. Despite 3 attempts, I was not able to cast my vote today in any kind of a reasonable amount of time, and it seems to be the same story I'm hearing over and over again. Almost 3 hours after polls have closed there are still long lines, praise those that were willing to wait I guess. Hopefully they were enough.

Ooooo the beauty of Illinois:

Despite federal probe, mental illness, Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. expected to be re-elected
Despite federal probe, mental illness, Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. expected to be re-elected - Chicago Sun-Times

Jesse Jackson Jr. Election Results: Illinois Congressman Coasts To Easy Re-Election
Jesse Jackson Jr. Election Results: Illinois Congressman Coasts To Easy Re-Election

with ~70% of the popular vote...this state is just as nuts as the clinically diagnosed mentally ill that they elect!!

To be fair, only his district gets to vote for him. The rest of us can't be blamed for that bullshit.

I used an absentee ballot this year for the first time. Hand delivered it last week to the supervisor of elections office since it is on the way to work.

Easy peasy.

Yeah, next time around I definitely intend to take that route... after I punch our supervisor of elections in the face.

At least hes not a felon!*


*yet

Actually, regarding it at all would be stupid. We don't elect our president on popular vote - we elect on an electoral college system. Paying any attention to any other system is stupid.

This seems slightly unlikely, the Texas population is around 25.6 million as of 2011.

I know there has been alleged voter fraud but I think 5 bil votes from Texas would probably raise a few eyebrows.

I think the electoral college is outdated and a straight popular vote could increase voter turnout.

I am not against the idea of the electoral college because I get the concept of why it was established. I also understand that the popular vote does not determine the president in anyway but only twice in history has the popular vote gone against the electoral college so as a trend indicator it is still a valid piece of data. It is just not the end all, especially in elections like this that will be razor thin.

+1. It would also absolutely transform the way candidates campaign.

Yeah, they wouldn't have to waste time with any of those boring middle states. Just fly from east coast to west coast.

Every state should vote like Washington. 100% vote by mail or drop your ballot in a drop box. No lines no proof of ID required to vote. Take your time in your own living room and research everything on the ballot. You get about 3 weeks to study the ballot.

:facepalm:
Yeah, there are no large cities in the midwest or anything.

Oh the irony of watching all my peers on facebook rejoice in Obama's victory as maybe only 5% of them with college degrees have jobs in their field.

I just bought a Core 15 lower and two 30-round M&P9L mags.

The good news is that you no longer have to work.

*

I guess I'll pray to Satan that Republicans can come-up with a reasonable candidate.

It’s looking a lot like Nate Silver fivethirtyeight.com nailed the prediction.

Hop on the bandwagon brah.

But when you spread the wealth is good for everyone...:vash::vash:

Like they say, once you go black...

In for black republican candidate 2016

Hopped on just to say "HAI GAIZ!"

That and to get excited about my incoming Artech hotside, fuck yessss!

I hope it's Herman Cain.

NINE NINE NINE MOTHERFUCKA! GET ON THE CAIN TRAIN!

All I have to say is,
I can't vote yet pay more than the median salary in taxes.

At least it's not Putin :)

Hooray its over! **optimistically prepares for the worst**

:2cents:

Remember. Our jobs, health, education, and our country mean nothing without our personal freedoms and liberty. We MUST keep our leadership accountable. Stay informed and communicate with your representatives as often as possible. The wheel that squeaks the most gets the most grease.

Keep spreading the message of peace, liberty, and prosperity!

RTAmerica (on youtube)
WeAreChange.org
CampaignforLiberty.org

I guess that the more people you put on welfare, the more Democrat votes you score, lol.

Everything gon be free, ya'll.

^This.

Scumbag's gonna Scum.

This guy at work argued 3 inches from my face about Hussein because "I voted for him, so maybe I'll finally get my hand out."
I'm like "you're a fuckin scumbag...you have a job and you come to work (most of the time), and you have the balls to say that to me like you understand wtf you're talking about?"
I wish this country wasn't such a bunch of pussies, cause I would've split that guys head right open in the lunchroom in front of everyone.

That will buy my vote.

Major metropolitan areas are typically liberal anyway. Without the electoral college, the massive urban centers will dictate policy to the rest of the nation.

that's why he won people care more about getting government aid than voting for what's right.

So in my small town because of Obama and the gun thing. The gun sales have gone through the roof.

No Gary Johnson? No Care.....


I just can't wait for this to be over so I could fuck with everyone afterwards on FB. I just want my post 911 bill to still be in place. I've heard enough of stupid politics... Although my friend sent me this and I immediately added this dude to fuck his day up. ignant peeps


https://www.facebook.com/ajax/messag...DhK4UdJf_LPOQJ

Joke is on you taxpayer!!:loser:

"A democracy will continue to exist up until the time that voters discover that they can vote themselves generous gifts from the public treasury."

So my fiance and I had a deal that if Obama won I would look for a job in Australia once I finish getting my CPA. Not that I think the country is gonna explode or anything, but we want to travel and the direction that we see this country going in made us want to take the opportunity now. So I have got a little over a year to hunt for prospects.

Allen West might not have been reelected, so he my have time to twiddle his thumbs and get a campaign going. Lol.

I would think a CPA would have great job security in the US with all the gov't handouts to manage...oh wait...we don't actually audit the handouts...Aussie it is! Good luck!

I was thinking, four years ago Republicans were against abortion, this year they were against birth control. What's next?

It would be pretty cool if the Republicans could come up with a candidate who didn't stand on the sidewalk with a "REPENT!!!" sign and bull horn on the weekends.