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Old Sep 8, 2017 | 11:01 PM
  #21  
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If you can make it to 12 noon it will be past the keys for good. Windy.com app is pretty neat. A friend recommended it.
Old Sep 8, 2017 | 11:08 PM
  #22  
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And it is back to cat 5 after eye wall replacement...
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 08:16 AM
  #23  
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Originally Posted by stratosteve
I would seriously reconsider your plan. Sounds like your structure is good to go for wind but it's the surge that will kill you.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/

I have been following this page. Levi's videos are really good for explanations of the currents steering this beast and why it has been so difficult to forecast.
Cool page. Thanks for the link and for the consideration.
Originally Posted by shuiend
Goodluck I hope you make it. Irma is about to **** the Keys. How are your supplies looking. I think that is the bigger issue. You might survive the initial hurricane, but I am doubting infrastructure will be fixed in any sort of timely manor.
We have enough food and water for 3~ weeks. 25 gallons of gas, bicycle and have three trucks parked at the high ground in Upper Sugarloaf (assuming they make it).
Originally Posted by bahurd
Looks like you don’t have much of a choice at this point. Good luck.
Nah, not really. Trucks are fueled but there are reports of people being stuck on the roads.
Originally Posted by sixshooter
The keys are rock. That helps. If they were a sand barrier island they could just go away. The winds will be incredible but if you are in a hardened structure then the rising water is the thing to worry about. If the eye passes west of you the sea will rise 20+ft. If it is to the east then it shouldn't be as deep.

I wish you the best, my friend. Please take awesome video to share with us later. I'll pray for your safe passage.

The track has been updated to pass west of me now, right over Troy's (Miata2fast) house and between my place and Ryan G's. We are all in the reach of the eyewall and the 110 MPH estimated speeds. Not like the keys, which will see 180mph or more.

I just did the research and my home saw 71mph sustained and gusts to 83mph during Jeanne in 2004. This will be much more interesting.
Good luck, boys. We'll always have the Lake House and 'nanner pudding.

Old Sep 9, 2017 | 08:47 AM
  #24  
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"Are you prepared?"
>obviously



Old Sep 9, 2017 | 10:47 AM
  #25  
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South Tampa and Downtown are so fucked it's not even funny. I'll have to keep on the lookout for some cheap homes on the market in the next few months.
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 10:56 AM
  #26  
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Originally Posted by viperormiata
Still here in the keys. Staying in - CBS reinforced with steel, hip shaped roof, FBC metal roof, straps embedded into the concrete walls. Impact windows and doors. The first floor is an airplane hangar with a 20' ceiling. House is less than 10 years old.

I really hope I don't die.
LMK if i should cancelled my trip in 3 weeks. If you dont respond I'll assume the worst and cancel plans.
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 11:04 AM
  #27  
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Originally Posted by Braineack
LMK if i should cancelled my trip in 3 weeks. If you dont respond I'll assume the worst and cancel plans.
I'd plan on it. They are saying there is a good possibility of losing a bridge.

Since we are staying on the airfield, my roommate and I are designated to clean the airfield off if we have a working tractor. This place will be the only way to get supplies in until boats can make it.

Edit: Just found out from the owner of the house that we have more people staying on the airfield including an engineer.
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 11:19 AM
  #28  
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Ryan_G will be coming to stay with us, thankfully. His place was built in the 1930s and is wood, and he lives in the second floor over the garage. Ours was built after the building codes were strengthened post hurricane Andrew and has block walls and I've boarded everything up. I really hope his place is ok but I feel better he's with us.

Tony Montana evacuated to further inland and higher ground.

I need to send Troy a text to check on him.
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 01:55 PM
  #29  
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Saw Troy at the chainsaw shop. I bought a new sprocket for my chainsaw. Troy had two or three of his with him. I think he owns seven or eight because of his business.
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 02:35 PM
  #30  
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man, this is damn scary. key west international has a field elevation of 3'. good luck and stay hunkered down.
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 02:35 PM
  #31  
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BTW, Troy thinks Josh is effing nuts to be riding it out in the keys.

Tomorrow by noon he can tell us if it was a good idea if he's got power.
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 02:42 PM
  #32  
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Watching the local news makes me feel like some of the reporters are this guy:

Old Sep 9, 2017 | 02:51 PM
  #33  
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Originally Posted by portabull
man, this is damn scary. key west international has a field elevation of 3'. good luck and stay hunkered down.
I think he's at the other, smaller airfield where they have autocrosses but I'm not sure. Sugarloaf Shores Airport on Sugarloaf Key. That's got an elevation of 4ft, so he should be fine with 20ft wave heights.
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 02:55 PM
  #34  
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Originally Posted by sixshooter
I think he's at the other, smaller airfield where they have autocrosses but I'm not sure. Sugarloaf Shores Airport on Sugarloaf Key. That's got an elevation of 4ft, so he should be fine with 20ft wave heights.
where the field elevation is 4'. either way... i'm worried for him.
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 03:51 PM
  #35  
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It looks like people are still out and about on KW as of now.

http://southernmostpointwebcam.com/
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 05:10 PM
  #36  
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I'm at 456 Airport Drive South
Summerland Key, FL
33042

As of 5PM my time we still have power and internet.
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 05:45 PM
  #37  
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://youtu.be/X7ld45pUueQ
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 05:46 PM
  #38  
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https://www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...YLj3PLoGqrfjNe
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 06:05 PM
  #39  
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oh there's a webcam at the hotel i have booked. lol.
Old Sep 9, 2017 | 09:37 PM
  #40  
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I evacuated to my parents house in Tallahassee, which was pretty terrible. Right now it looks like the storm is going to make landfall on my front door.

My house is at 8ft of elevation with 15ft of storm surge projected. I keep doing the math on that and it just doesnt end favorably. The miata is in the garage on jackstands as high as they will go. Just hoping for the best at this point.

Stay safe guys.



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