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Old 06-09-2011, 10:47 AM
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Default Unemployment Chart

Thank goodness they let you draw for 99 weeks now

http://www.businessinsider.com/berna...mployed-2011-6
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Old 06-09-2011, 10:55 AM
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I will see your chart:



and raise you this:



and a quote:

President Barack Obama on Tuesday urged European countries and bondholders to prevent a "disastrous" default by Greece and pledged U.S. support to help tackle the country's debt crisis.

...

A proposal for a second Greek bailout package worth 80 billion to 100 billion euros over three years was taking shape, euro zone sources said.

...

With U.S. unemployment at 9.1 percent, Obama has blamed outside forces for impeding the economy, including high fuel prices, the earthquake in Japan and the euro zone crisis.

"America's economic growth depends on a sensible resolution of this issue," he said.
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Old 06-09-2011, 10:55 AM
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Now is the time for increasing federal income tax rates, an energy policy that increases prices, and most importantly raising the debt ceiling to continue on this path of hope and change.
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Old 06-09-2011, 11:34 AM
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...and the debt as a % of GDP. Notice we have major wartime levels of debt... without a major war:

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Old 06-09-2011, 01:31 PM
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I saw that graph theother day. Is brain playing on zerohedge? lol, good stuff.
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Old 06-10-2011, 09:56 AM
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The Power Line Prize of $100,000 will be awarded to whoever can most effectively and creatively dramatize the significance of the federal debt crisis. Prizes will also be awarded to the runner-up and two third-place finishers. Anyone can enter the contest—individuals, companies (e.g., advertising agencies) or any other entity, as long as the contest rules are followed. Any creative product is eligible: videos, songs, paintings, screenplays, Power Point presentations, essays, performance art, or anything else, as long as the product is unique to the contest and has not previously been published or otherwise entered the public domain. Entries may address the federal debt crisis in its entirety, or a specific aspect of the debt crisis, such as: the impact of the debt crisis on the young; the role played by the “stimulus” (Where did the money go? Why didn’t it stimulate?); how entitlements drive the debt crisis; the current federal deficit; how the debt crisis impacts the economy; or any other aspect of the debt crisis. The contest is non-partisan. Its purpose is to inform the public about the federal debt crisis.
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Old 06-16-2011, 01:22 PM
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http://www.econ.washington.edu/news/millimansl.pdf

This presentation, from Nobel Prize winner in Economics Robert Lucas, concludes the economy is suffering from sub-par growth-something that is particularly damning since normally one expects to see faster-than-average growth following an economic downturn.
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Old 06-17-2011, 09:41 AM
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...There are some structural issues with our economy, where a lot of businesses have learned to become much more efficient with a lot fewer workers. You see it when you go to a bank and you use an ATM; You don’t go to a bank teller. Or you go to the airport and you’re using a kiosk instead of checking in at the gate. So all these things have created changes in the economy and what we have to do now, and that’s what this job counsel is all about, is identifying where the jobs of the future are going to be, how do we make sure that there’s a match between what people are getting trained for and the jobs that exist, how do we make sure that capital is flowing into those places with the greatest opportunity.
Apparently productivity is a "structural issue", ATMs are job killers, and we NEED him and his jobs counsel to figure out what the jobs of the future are going to be.

I have a few questions:

What level of knowledge of the future does Obama hold?
How and why can he believe he can move resources to the right place at the right time better than investors?
When has history ever shown politicians capable of doing so?


Now reread the bolded parts of his quote, then read this:

Under fascism, the state, through official cartels, controlled all aspects of manufacturing, commerce, finance, and agriculture. Planning boards set product lines, production levels, prices, wages, working conditions, and the size of firms.

Where socialism sought totalitarian control of a society’s economic processes through direct state operation of the means of production, fascism sought that control indirectly, through domination of nominally private owners. Where socialism nationalized property explicitly, fascism did so implicitly, by requiring owners to use their property in the “national interest”—that is, as the autocratic authority conceived it. (Nevertheless, a few industries were operated by the state.) Where socialism abolished all market relations outright, fascism left the appearance of market relations while planning all economic activities. Where socialism abolished money and prices, fascism controlled the monetary system and set all prices and wages politically. In doing all this, fascism denatured the marketplace. Entrepreneurship was abolished. State ministries, rather than consumers, determined what was produced and under what conditions.
sound familiar?
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Old 06-17-2011, 08:02 PM
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99 weeks! holy ****... no wonder you have so much debt. I am blown away.
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Old 06-17-2011, 08:16 PM
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This is a pure example of why the whole system is ****. I wish it was a dog and we could take it out back shoot it and start over with the government assistants ****. I have personal experience with the people that live next to me and it is bullshit. They have 6 adults that do nothing but smoke weed all day and they all collect SS or UE and food stamps and help with the electric and rent. So while I go to work everyday and work my *** off to pay for everything they get free everything with rent for $300 a month and $25 electric a month and continue to be lazy bitches.
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Old 06-17-2011, 08:21 PM
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unemployed from 02/10/09 to 06/00/09
six month contract because no full time could be found
unemployed from 11/01/10 to current

**** all you Democratic and Republicans, it's all of your faults.
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Old 06-17-2011, 08:24 PM
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I am all for people that need it that is what it is there for and my brother has been out of a job for 2.5 years and just got a new sweet job at pizza hut. It pays more than none. I just hate the people abuse the system because they can that is bullshit and that is why the country is running into the ground.
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Old 06-17-2011, 08:26 PM
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I agree with Brainiac. We are as a whole unwittingly allowing our country to steam roll us all in the name of freedom. We haven't been involved in a war for our freedoms in a few hundred years. Yet somehow we do it for others ans then do to them what we are allowing to be done to us.

PS: I was military for years and watched it happen
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Old 06-18-2011, 01:22 AM
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I have nothing against employment insurance as I'm on it right now having been laid off in January. But, I don't get anywhere near 99 weeks and they are on you every day for finding a new job. The only reason I'm not working right now is because I'm back in school (collecting partial benefits because of that). People that sit on EI or disability just because they can disgust me.
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Old 06-18-2011, 08:18 AM
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**** I go crazy if I'm off work for more than 2-3 days. Don't know how people could just sit around all day. One day things will have to change, can't go on like this forever.
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Old 06-18-2011, 05:09 PM
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Agreed. I have been going stir crazy, but given that I am getting a bit of money while going to school it's the best place for me to be right now. When I'm done school, I'll be getting a job ASAP... not maxing out my payout.
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Old 06-20-2011, 01:21 PM
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Newweek published an article written by Bill Clinton on his 14 ideas for putting Americans back to work.

Here are the notables:

4. COPY THE EMPIRE STATE BUILDING

Just look at the Empire State Building—I can see it from my office window. Our climate-change people worked on their retrofit project. They cleared off a whole floor for a small factory to change the heating and air conditioning, put in new lighting and insulation, and cut energy-efficient glass for the windows. Johnson Controls, the energy-service company overseeing the project, guaranteed the building owners their electricity usage would go down 38 percent—a massive saving, which will enable the costs of the retrofits to be recovered through lower utility bills in less than five years. Meanwhile, the project created hundreds of jobs and cut greenhouse-gas emissions substantially. We could put a million people to work retrofitting buildings all over America.
Who pays for these projects? Energy-Efficient Glass windows don't grow on trees. A program funded by debt.


5. GET THE UTILITIES IN ON THE ACTION

Let’s suppose you and I go to a blue-collar neighborhood in Rockland County, N.Y., about an hour north of midtown Manhattan. On each house we could do a simple job—in and out in a day—that would almost certainly save 20 percent in energy costs. You wouldn’t even need banks if states required the electric companies to let consumers finance this work through utility savings. At least 11 states allow the electric companies to collect the money saved and use it to pay the contractors. So why shouldn’t the utilities finance this? To give another example, our climate-change initiative worked with the state of Arkansas, with the support of the governor, to develop a program called HEAL (Home Energy Assistance Loan), in which a company first creates jobs by making its own building more energy-efficient. Then, with the savings from the utility bill, they establish a fund to offer interest-free loans to their employees to finance the same work on their homes. This could be done with a little government support by companies all over the country. You get 7,000 jobs for every billion dollars in retrofitting. Let’s start with the schools and colleges and hospitals, and state, county, and local government buildings. That would keep the construction industry busy for a couple of years, creating a million jobs that would ripple through the whole economy, spurring even more growth.
See #1. When you say "we" do you mean the gov't? So again, who is paying for this, China? Another program funded by debt.


8. PAINT ’EM WHITE

Look at the tar roofs covering millions of American buildings. They absorb huge amounts of heat when it’s hot. And they require more air conditioning to cool the rooms. Mayor Bloomberg started a program to hire and train young people to paint New York’s roofs white. A big percentage of the kids have been able to parlay this simple work into higher-skilled training programs or energy-related retrofit jobs. (And, believe it or not, painting the roof white can lower the electricity use by 20 percent on a hot day!)

Every black roof in New York should be white; every roof in Chicago should be white; every roof in Little Rock should be white. Every flat tar-surface roof anywhere! In most of these places you could recover the cost of the paint and the labor in a week. It’s the quickest, cheapest thing you can do. In the current environment it’s been difficult for the mayors to get what is otherwise a piddling amount of money to do it everywhere. Yet lowering the utility bill in every apartment house 10 to 20 percent frees cash that can be spent to increase economic growth.

See #1 and #2. Mr President, it seems that all you care about is your energy policy, not jobs. Another program funded by debt.


11. TEACH SKILLS WE NEED

I’m trying to figure out why job seekers don’t have the skills companies need; why the community colleges and vocational programs, which have done such a great job for America, are not providing more people with the skills to fill these vacancies. Do people just not enroll in the right programs or do they drop out because of the economy? I hope we can find out.
Maybe public schools should teach children how to read first?


2. CASH FOR STARTUPS

If you start a business tomorrow, I can give you all the tax credits in the world, but since you haven’t made a nickel yet, they’re of no use to you. President Obama came in with a really good energy policy, including an idea to provide both a tax credit for new green jobs and for startup companies, to allow the conversion of the tax credit into its cash equivalent for every employee hired. Then last December, in the tax-cut compromise, the Republicans in Congress wouldn’t agree to extend this benefit because they said, “This is a spending program, not a tax cut. We’re only for tax cuts.” It was a mistake. The cash incentive worked. On the day President Obama took office, the U.S. had less than 2 percent of the world market in manufacturing the high-powered batteries for hybrid or all-electric cars. On the day of the congressional elections in 2010, thanks in large part to the cash—incentive policy, we had 20 percent of global capacity, with 30 new battery plants built or under construction, 16 of them in Michigan, which had America’s second—highest unemployment rate. We have to convince the Republican Congress that this is a good thing. If this incentive structure can be maintained, it’s estimated that by 2015 we’ll have 40 percent of the world’s capacity for these batteries. We could get lots of manufacturing jobs in the same way. I could write about this until the cows come home.
More free money out of thin air. Another program funded by debt.


7. GUARANTEE LOANS

Before the last presidential election, I tried for a year to get both Congress and the administration to deal with the fact that the banks weren’t lending because they were still jittery about the economy, and worried about the regulators coming down on them for bad loans still on the books. It’s not much better now. Banks still have more than $2 trillion in cash uncommitted to loans.

So I suggested that the federal government set aside—not spend—$15 billion of the TARP money and create a loan-guarantee program that would work exactly the way the Small Business Administration does. Basically, the bank lends money to a business after the federal government guarantees 75 percent of it. Let’s say that the SBA fund has about a 20-to-1 loan-to-capital ratio, and it’s never come anywhere near bankruptcy. If we capitalized this more conservatively at 10-to-1, we could guarantee $150 billion in loans and create more than a million jobs. We should start with buildings we know will stay in use: most state and local government buildings, schools, university structures, hospitals, theaters, and concert halls. We could include private commercial buildings with no debt. Even if many are strapped for cash, allowing the costs of the retrofits to be paid only from utility savings means the building owners won’t be out any cash. It’s a “just say yes” system.
Remember the sub-prime mortgage crisis that got us here in the first place?

Another, more free money idea. Another program funded by debt.


9. DEALS TO MAKE THINGS

Every analysis shows that TARP and the stimulus saved us from a second Great Depression. After the GM and Chrysler bailouts, we have something like 75,000 more jobs in the industry. Closure of the factories and the suppliers with them would have cost a million jobs. The stimulus should have been more vigorously defended in the last election. It did work, but it didn’t “fix the economy” because it was an $800 billion stimulus trying to fix a $3 trillion hole. Nobody can fill a $3 trillion hole with $800 billion, so it didn’t make ordinary people feel a lot better, but without it, the unemployment rate would have been 1.5 to 2 percent higher than it is.

I’m sympathetic with the objectives of the Bowles-Simpson commission; we do need to do something about long-term debt. It’s a question of timing, really. If we cut a lot of government spending while our economy still has so little private investment, we risk weakening the economy even more and increasing the deficit because tax revenues can fall more than spending is cut. That’s why the Bowles-Simpson report recommends we delay big spending cuts until next year. So what should we do? More infrastructure initiatives now would put a lot of people back to work. But President Obama doesn’t have the votes in the Congress to get another stimulus package. When asked why he robbed banks, Willie Sutton said, “Because that’s where the money is.” We have to unlock that money and take steps to get U.S. corporations to invest some of the $2 trillion they have accumulated.

Without regard to their party or their philosophy, Americans have always been great at the art of the deal. The real thing that has killed us in the last 10 years is that too much of our dealmaking creativity has been devoted to expanding the financial sector in ways that don’t create new businesses and more jobs and to persuading people to take on excessive debt loads to make up for the fact that their incomes are stagnant. That’s one reason why we’ve been suffering from anemic employment for years. In the seven years and eight months that preceded the meltdown, our economy produced a meager 4 million new jobs, far too few to cope with millions coming into the workforce, and virtually all those jobs were created in housing, finance, and consumer spending.
Free money. Another program funded by debt.


10. TRAIN ON THE JOB

Andrew Liveris’s book on how we can bring manufacturing back to America cites a company that interviewed 3,600 people for 100 jobs and hired 47; the others didn’t have the necessary skills. One answer to the skills roadblock comes from the former labor commissioner in Georgia, Michael Thurmond. After job vacancies go unfilled for a certain period of time, the state offers businesses the money to train potential employees themselves. During the training period, the companies don’t become employers, so they don’t have to start paying Social Security taxes or employer benefits. They train people their way, then hire those who succeed as regular employees, reducing the time lag between when a job is advertised and when it is filled. With unemployment at 9 percent and the real rate of those without full-time work higher, there are 3 million posted job vacancies. Filling them faster could make a big difference.
Free money. Another program funded by debt.



Notice the theme yet? 57% of his novel ideas are for the gov't to hand out free money on "shovel-ready" projects. I'm trying to remember when that worked last...

but I'm confused, does he want to fix the economy and put people to work, or push his energy policies?
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Old 06-20-2011, 01:28 PM
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Brain, thanks for posting that contest link. I'm entering.
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Old 06-23-2011, 09:51 AM
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Obama Stimulus almost doubled U.S. debt:

A new report from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) finds that President Obama’s economic stimulus program helped nearly double U.S. debt.

The 2011 Long-Term Budget Outlook, released Wednesday morning, reports that the “the combination of automatic budgetary responses” and Obama’s stimulus “had a profound impact on the federal budget.” According to CBO projections, before Obama’s stimulus became law, federal debt equaled 36 percent of GDP and was projected to decline slightly over the next few years. Instead, thanks in large part to the stimulus, debt reached 62 percent of GDP by 2010.

Other lowlights from the report include:

• Debt will reach 70 percent of GDP by the end of this year – the highest percentage since World War II.
• Spending on Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security will reach 15 percent of GDP by 2035 – spending on all government programs has averaged 18.5 percent over the past 40 years.
• Total government spending is set to hit 27 percent of GDP by 2035.
• Taxes are set to grow from 19 percent of GDP in 2013, to 23 percent by 2035.
• Americans “at various points on the income scale would pay a larger percentage of their income in taxes than people at the same points do today.”
• The effective marginal tax rate on labor income would rise from about 25 percent now to about 35 percent in 2035.
• Projects that our public debt will be 101% of GDP in 2021 and 190% of GDP in 2035
Not to mention the cost per job "saved or created" by the stimulus was at least $175,000-$525,000 per job. And almost all of them were part-time jobs.
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Old 06-23-2011, 10:08 AM
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Jobless claims go up over 9000.
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