... in 431 different scenarios vs Romney's 76, depending on the outcome in a few contested states.



Specifically, if he carries Ohio and Florida or North Carolina, Romney loses.

 

As much as I'd rather run a deficit with lower taxes rather than increased spending, I don't see Romney winning.

 

Fivethirtyeight has Romney not winning until the 11th most probable electoral college split.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

We’ll se how well the vote flipping machines and deliberately screwed up process of making everybody in populated areas have to wait in line for hours to vote works for Romney.

 

There is ONE good thing about an Obama victory: A Republican Congress means gridlock.

There is ONE good thing about a Romney victory: The "liberals" will suddenly become anti-war again.

 

I have no idea what this picture is showing me.

 

Although it is still early Romney seems to be maintaining a fairly consistent 5 point lead with every vote update. That is much more than I would assume he will win by if he does indeed win.

 

I'll just be happy if we can avoid any kind of electoral crisis that leads to a new round of "we must be rid of the antiquated electoral college" arguments.

 

It is swing state scenarios. If Obama wins Florida and Ohio it will be an early night.

 

Thankfully though, they, like you, are wrong. Good night!

 

Gary Johnson 2012!!!!

 

Nader 2012!!!!

 

Yup. Got my vote in.

 

1. The popular vote doesn't matter.
2. A lot of the early results are coming from Republican strongholds. Wait until the New York, California, and Illinois count their votes.
+1.

I'm under no illusions that he will win, I just wanted to help him get closer to 5%.

 

Virgil goode!

 

I understand the popular vote "doesn't count", however, disregarding it entirely would be stupid.

 

Agree to disagree. It's irrelevant data to me because Romney could have 5 billion votes in Texas and not win the election.

 

Interesting road to the white house...

 

.

 

You know what sucks, my precinct was consistently running +5 hour wait times to vote today. I went to vote this morning at 7am (before work), 3:30pm (left work early), and 7pm (just before the precincts closed). Each time the parking lot was COMPLETELY filled, any grass areas that could conceivably be used for parking were COMPLETELY filled, and there were numerous cars driving around looking for places to park. Meanwhile, 2 precincts CLOSER to my house were completely deserted, without a single person in line. This was the same story throughout Lee County FL.

Maybe this seems innocent, but Lee County FL is VERY conservative. 4 years ago McCain won Lee County FL 73.02% to Obama's 26.18%. Apparently someone down here doesn't want conservatives voting. Despite 3 attempts, I was not able to cast my vote today in any kind of a reasonable amount of time, and it seems to be the same story I'm hearing over and over again. Almost 3 hours after polls have closed there are still long lines, praise those that were willing to wait I guess. Hopefully they were enough.

 

Ooooo the beauty of Illinois:

Despite federal probe, mental illness, Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. expected to be re-elected
Despite federal probe, mental illness, Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. expected to be re-elected - Chicago Sun-Times

Jesse Jackson Jr. Election Results: Illinois Congressman Coasts To Easy Re-Election
Jesse Jackson Jr. Election Results: Illinois Congressman Coasts To Easy Re-Election

with ~70% of the popular vote...this state is just as nuts as the clinically diagnosed mentally ill that they elect!!